How three major studies changed what we know about air pollution

  • 5 min read
  • by IQAir Staff Writers
How three major studies changed what we know about air pollution

Air quality science didn’t advance all at once. It changed through a series of breakthroughs—moments when scientists were able to prove what polluted air was doing to people, where it was coming from, and why it mattered.

Some of the most important discoveries began with simple but urgent questions: Why were people getting sick? What was in the air? And could those risks be prevented?

Three major turning points reshaped how the world understands air pollution today. Together, they helped transform air quality from an invisible environmental concern into a measurable public health issue—one that continues to guide policy, research, and how communities protect themselves.

Scientific breakthroughs only matter if they are shared and acted on. When evidence is delayed, ignored, or dismissed, the consequences can last for years. The history of air quality science shows that progress depends not just on discovery—but on whether societies listen and respond.

1930-1952: Deadly fogs spark modern air quality research

In the early 20th century, air pollution was widespread—but poorly understood. That changed when a series of deadly events forced scientists and governments to confront its health impacts.

In 1930, a dense industrial fog settled over the Meuse Valley in Belgium. The combination of temperature inversion, trapped emissions, and industrial activity led to 64 deaths. Autopsies found severe respiratory damage, including excess mucus, hemorrhaging and fluid in the lungs. Investigators linked the fatalities to sulfur dioxide and other industrial pollutants, and the findings were published in the Bulletin de l'Académie royale de médecine de Belgique in 1931. It was one of the first connect air pollution with mortality (1).

Despite these findings, Belgian authorities laid the blame on chance and local conditions. Ignoring the warnings, other similar, preventable disasters would unfold in later decades in both America and England.

Nearly two decades later, a similar disaster struck Donora, Pennsylvania. In October 1948, a temperature inversion trapped emissions from steel and zinc plants, creating a thick smog that killed 20 people and sickened thousands (2). This time, researchers conducted one of the first large-scale epidemiological studies of air pollution, confirming the role of industrial emissions in the disaster. The research team’s findings sparked public outrage and would lay the groundwork for the United States’ Clean Air Act.

Then in 1952, London’s Great Smog caused at least 4,000 deaths in just a few days (3). Investigations identified coal burning as the primary source, leading to the United Kingdom’s Clean Air Acts (4).

Together, these events and the resulting studies marked a turning point. They showed that polluted air was not just unpleasant—it could be deadly. And they laid the foundation for modern air quality regulation and public health research.

1950s: Dr. Haagen-Smit cracks the LA smog code

By the 1940s, Los Angeles was known for its thick, eye-stinging smog—but no one fully understood what was causing it.

At the time, many believed smog came primarily from industrial emissions. But Biochemistry professor Dr. Arie Haagen-Smit began a series of experiments in 1948 that revealed smog’s true chemistry. He showed that hydrocarbons and nitrogen dioxide could react in sunlight to form ozone, helping explain the toxic photochemical smog blanketing Los Angeles. His research showed that cars—major emitters of both hydrocarbons and nitrogen dioxide—were central to the city’s air pollution (5).

This revelation led to the first vehicle emissions standards (6). Haagen-Smit’s work helped clean the air and transform public perception, forcing policymakers to confront human activity’s role in environmental degradation.

1993: The “Harvard Six Cities” study and the toll of dirty air

By the early 1990s, scientists had already established that extreme pollution events could be deadly. The next question was more subtle—and more important for everyday life: what about long-term exposure to lower levels of pollution?

In 1993, researchers published what came to be known as the “Harvard Six Cities” study in the New England Journal of Medicine (7)(8). The study followed over 8,000 adults in six U.S. cities for up to 16 years. The participants lived in cities with varying air pollution concentrations. Researchers followed participants over time—including through mailed follow-up cards—to compare survival rates across cities with different pollution levels.

The study findings linked long-term exposure to PM2.5—even at low to moderate levels then considered “safe”—to premature death. PM2.5 is particulate matter measuring 2.5 microns in diameter or smaller.

The study’s results were confirmed in both a reanalysis of the original study and numerous additional studies. The Harvard Six Cities study would go on to directly influence the WHO’s air quality guidelines (9).

The takeaway

These breakthroughs changed more than scientific understanding—they changed how societies respond to air pollution.

From proving that polluted air could cause immediate harm, to identifying the sources of modern smog, to revealing the long-term risks of fine particle exposure, each discovery helped shape the policies and protections people rely on today.

They also offer a reminder: today’s air quality challenges—from microplastics to climate-driven pollution—will require the same combination of curiosity, evidence, and public accountability.

Clean air progress begins with research that makes invisible risks visible and actionable. When science is trusted, shared, and turned into policy, it becomes one of the most powerful tools for protecting public health.

Observed each year on April 7, World Health Day highlights the importance of science, prevention, and systems that help people live healthier lives. Air quality science is one of the clearest examples of that principle in action—and one of the strongest reminders that healthier futures depend on the evidence we choose to act on.

Article resources

[1] Realfonzo U. (2023, December 2). Today in History: The mysterious Meuse Valley fog disaster. The Brussels Times.
[2] Jacobs E, Burgess J, Mark B Abbott M. (2018). The Donora Smog revisited: 70 years after the event that inspired the Clean Air Act. American Public Health Association. DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2017.304219
[3] Met Office. (n.d.). The Great Smog of 1952.
[4] Mosely S. (n.d.). Clearing the air: can the 1956 Clean Air Act inform new legislation? History & Policy.
[5] Haagen-Smit AJ. (1952). Chemistry and physiology of Los Angeles smog. Industrial & Engineering Chemistry.
[6] California Air Resources Board. (n.d.). Dr. Arie Haagen-Smit.
[7] Dockery D, Pope CA, Xu X. (1993). An association between air pollution and mortality in six U.S. cities. New England Journal of Medicine. DOI: 10.1056/NEJM199312093292401
[8] Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. (2024, January 4). Groundbreaking air pollution study marks 30 years.
[9] Fuller G. (2023, December 29). Lasting legacy of the Six Cities study into harms of air pollution. The Guardian.

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